|
|
|
Alabama Real Estate – A Southern Air
Alabama is undeniably a stereotypical southern state, but the state and real estate market hold undeniable surprises.
Alabama
Alabama is distinctly southern and darn proud of it. If you have a taste for college football, country music and...
Good Credit Scores = ROI Profits For Real Estate Investors
Strong credit saves real estate investors money on mortgage finance costs. A good credit score, along with other credit and mortgage qualifications, means that investors can pay lower fees for financing, such as points and interest charges. Also,...
How Not To Lose A Million Dollars In Real Estate
I recently saw an article "How to lose a million dollars in real estate" what a great title! Then I saw the author Verna Jones-Cox (real estate short sale expert) no wonder it had a great title. I met Verna about two years ago and I would have...
Make A Fortune With No Money Down! Really??
They're sold on late-night TV, hawked at seminars, they sell in books, and, admit it, you've wondered about them--those programs that tell you that you can make a fortune investing in real estate with no money down. Is it true? The answer is, yes,...
Things To Know About Realtors
A realtor is the designation accorded to a member of the National Association of Realtors (NAR). NAR is the largest trade association of America. It has about 1 million members. The membership to the association is voluntary therefore it contains...
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
San Diego Housing Market – The Hidden Time Bombs
Nothing down, variable interest rate, EZ qualification, stated income.
These are the common lending terms that many believe have kept our super-heated market going. As the stories of fast home appreciation proliferate, the desire to get into our local housing market by those who hesitated in the past, have escalated.
This is typical of any bull market, be it the stock or housing market. The paradigm changes this time. There is a huge increase in zero down and adjustable rate loans being pushed on poor credit risk borrowers and first time buyers (below market start/qualifying), as well as move up buyers being induced to purchase homes that otherwise are far beyond normal qualifying loan guidelines!
The majority of the new adjustable loans have artificially low start rates for the first year or two, interest only payment terms, and are indexed to volatile interest rate indexes. This is setting the stage for a huge decline in home values.
One local major lender recently stated that they had no fixed rate purchase loans in process; all their new purchase loans were adjustable! Further, over 50% of their new purchase loans were zero down! Combine this with the popular ‘stated income’ loans and it’s easy to see how these policies have kept our market propped up. (A stated income loan basically means if the buyer has good credit, the amount of their stated income is NOT verified for qualification purposes.)
While a huge housing value decline seems unnatural to many, this phenomenon was last seen locally in the mid-90’s! At that time, an approximate 20% housing depreciation took many by surprise. The easy loan practices today, the double digit housing appreciation of the past few years, and irrational enthusiasm, clearly signals another approaching decline in the San Diego housing market!
How bad could such a decline be? A number of local lenders state that the majority of
their loans for the past few years were zero down, adjustable loans. With the slow but steady rise in interest rates, San Diego could be facing a decline in housing values that could dim the 20% decline of the mid-90’s!
By any measure, our local real estate market is more at risk than any time in recent memory.
Though housing bubbles may last far beyond anyone’s expectations, now may well be a time to reconsider any new purchase. Purchasing one’s first home is not something one should try to time or tie into projections on the local housing trend. Just be cautious! Stay well within your normal qualification ratios. Except under certain conditions, avoid E/Z qualification and adjustable, zero down loans. Start out modestly with a smaller home or condominium that you can easily afford.
No one can predict the future trend of any major market with certainty. However, caution is advised in San Diego housing as the multitude sing the siren song of never ending double digit housing appreciation.
Copyright 2005 www.brokerforyou.com All rights reserved.
About the Author: Bob Schwartz,is a Certified Residential Specialist, real estate broker with http://www.Brokerforyou.com w/over 27 years of residential real estate experience. Bob's other sites are: http://www.downtown-san-diego-real-estate.com http://www.san-diego-for-sale-by-owner.com http://www.la-jolla-ca-del-mar-san-diego-real-estate-encinitas-california.us
Source: www.isnare.com
|
|
|
|
|
|